Gestational weight gain as a mediator of the relationship between pre-pregnancy body mass index and the risk of preterm birth: A four-way decomposition analysis.

Abstract

The aim of the present study was to examine and quantify whether the association between preterm birth (PTB) and pre-pregnancy body mass index (BMI) is mediated by gestational weight gain (GWG). This is a secondary analysis of a large randomized community non-inferiority trial using a cohort design. The data of 26 101 pregnant women in their first trimester who sought prenatal care and met eligibility criteria were included. The four-way decomposition method was applied to screen for all types of association effects of pre-pregnancy BMI on the risk of PTB. These effects include the total, direct, and various indirect effects including pure mediation via GWG, interactive effects with GWG, and mediated interaction with GWG, all adjusted for potential confounders. Among the study participants, 24 461 (93.7%) had term deliveries, while 1640 (6.3%) experienced PTB. The results of the study showed that there was a positive association between pre-pregnancy BMI among those with BMI more than 25 kg/m2 and the risk of PTB and this association was negatively mediated and interacted by GWG, which differed quantitatively between those who had inadequate, adequate, or excessive GWG. The total association effect showed that the risk was lowest for those who had underweight pre-pregnancy BMI and adequate GWG (excess relative risk [RR]: 0.06, 95% CI: 0.01-0.11, P value: 0.022) and was highest for those who had obese pre-pregnancy BMI and excessive GWG (excess RR: 0.67, 95% CI: 0.35-1.00, P value <0.001). The findings of the present prospective population-based study demonstrated that pre-pregnancy BMI >25 kg/m2 is directly and positively associated with the risk of preterm birth. The highest risk of preterm birth was observed among individuals with an obese pre-pregnancy BMI who also experienced excessive GWG.