Abstract
BackgroundDyslipidemia is a recognized risk factor for type 2 diabetes (T2D), yet the genetic basis and causal nature remain unclear, particularly in Chinese populations. ObjectivesThe authors investigated the causal effects of genetically predicted lipid levels on T2D risk and explored the potential effects of lipid-modifying drugs. MethodsLeveraging data from the Kunshan Community cohort in China, we analyzed the associations between low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and triglycerides (TGs) with T2D risk using genetic risk scores, 1-sample univariable, multivariable, and nonlinear Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses. Two-sample MR using summary-level data from Global Lipid Genetics Consortium and Biobank Japan was used for validation. Drug-target MR was used to examine the impact of lipid-modifying drug targets on T2D. ResultsLower genetic risk scores of LDL-C (OR per SD: 0.97 [95% CI: 0.95-0.99]; P = 0.010) and TGs (0.96 [95%CI: 0.94-0.98]; P = 0.002) were associated with increased T2D risk. Univariable MR revealed that genetically predicted lower LDL-C (0.78 [95% CI: 0.65-0.93]; P = 0.006) and TG levels (0.76 [95% CI: 0.66-0.89]; P < 0.001) were linked to a higher T2D risk, validated by 2-sample MR. Multivariable MR demonstrated a direct inverse association between LDL-C (0.80 [95% CI: 0.66-0.97]; P = 0.020) and TG (0.80 [95% CI: 0.66-0.97]; P = 0.022) with T2D. No evidence was found for nonlinearity. Among lipid-modifying drugs, genetic mimicry of apolipoprotein C3 (APOC3) inhibition increased T2D risk (OR per 1 mmol/L reduction in TG: 1.38 [95% CI: 1.10-1.75]; P = 0.007). ConclusionsOur findings suggested potential adverse effects of lower LDL-C, TG levels, as well as long-term use of APOC3 inhibitors on T2D risk in Chinese populations. These findings highlight the need for cautious lipid management strategies in T2D prevention.
Published Version
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