Abstract

In this study, we developed a novel distribution called Gamma Inverse Exponential (GIE) distribution, which has proved to be a more flexible distribution in modeling COVID-19 case fatality in Nigeria. We studied some statistical properties of the new distribution, which include: moments, incomplete moments, quantile function, Renyi entropy, and mean deviation. A real-life data application to a number of reported cases of COVID-19 infection between March 2019 to 2021 shows that the GIE distribution has a better fit than some competing distributions in fitting the data. Time series analysis of the COVID-19 data is also considered.

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