Fuzzy Fractional Caputo Derivative of Susceptible-Infectious- Removed Epidemic Model for Childhood Diseases

Abstract

In this work, the susceptible-infectious-removed (SIR) dynamics are considered in relation to the effects on the health system. With the help of the Caputo derivative fractional-order method, the SIR epidemic model for childhood diseases is designed. Subsequenly, a set of sufficient conditions ensuring the existence and uniqueness of the addressed model by choosing proper fuzzy approximation methods. In particular, the fuzzy Laplace method along with the Adomian decomposition transform were employed to better understand the dynamical structures of childhood diseases. This leads to the development of an efficient methodology for solving fuzzy fractional differential equations using Laplace transforms and their inverses, specifically with the Caputo sense derivative. This innovative approach facilitates the numerical resolution of the problem and numerical simulations are executed for considering parameter values.