Abstract

This study presents a new task-based quantification method for constructing Chinese occupational dataset based on the features of US jobs. Furthermore, we estimate the impact of artificial intelligence (AI) on jobs in China by determining substitution probability using a LightGBM-based prediction model. The results show that 54% of jobs in China would be substituted by AI in the following decades. Relatively speaking, unit heads are the safest jobs in China, whereas jobs intensive in perceptive and manipulative tasks are highly susceptible to substitution.

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