Abstract

Conventional machine learning approaches have shown limited predictive power when applied to continuous biohydrogen production due to nonlinearity and instability. This study was aimed at forecasting the dynamic membrane reactor performance in terms of the hydrogen production rate (HPR) and hydrogen yield (HY) using laboratory-based daily operation datapoints for twelve input variables. Hybrid algorithms were developed by integrating particle swarm optimized with functional link artificial neural network (PSO-FLN) which outperformed other hybrid algorithms for both HPR and HY, with determination coefficients (R2) of 0.97 and 0.80 and mean absolute percentage errors of 0.014 % and 0.023 %, respectively. Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) explained the two positive-influencing parameters, OLR_added (1.1–1.3 mol/L/d) and butyric acid (7.5–16.5 g COD/L) supports the highest HPR (40–60 L/L/d). This research indicates that PSO-FLN model are capable of handling complicated datasets with high precision in less computational timeat 9.8 sec for HPR and 10.0 sec for HY prediction.

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