Abstract
,1End-Use Forecasting Group, Ernest Orlando Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Energy AnalysisDepartment, Environmental Energy Technologies Division, Building 90-4000, 1 Cyclotron Road,University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720, USAReceived 10 May 2000; received in revised form 30 May 2001; accepted 1 June 2001Keywords: Forecasting; Technology adoption; Policy analysis; Analytical pitfalls
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