Four types of relationships between rainfall and paddy production in Sri Lanka

Abstract

Due to the absence of marked thermal differences in Sri Lanka, the paddy-climate relationship has been confined to rainfall alone in this study. Increase in total paddy production is highly attributed by the increase in paddy lands rather than yields, particularly in the drier parts, called Dry Zone. The effective rainfall period for the two principal cropping seasons in Sri Lanka, Maha and Yala, were determined according to the crop calendar of the Districts. The deviation values from the trend lines of 20 years (1961–1980) observations in sown, harvest and yield were well correlated with the deviations from the mean rainfall. The effects of rainfall on paddy production are well pronounced in the Dry Zone during the Maha season and in the Wet Zone during the Yala season. From the statictical analyses, four types of relationship, were observed: (1) Type I is the positive relationship, (2) Type II is the negative relationship, (3) Type III is the no realtionship and (4) Type IV a complex one which has a positive relationship below certain critical rainfall value and no or negative relationship above the critical rainfall value. The combination of Types I and IV shows the areas which need irrigation facilities with proper water management while the combination of the Types II and III indicates the areas which are prone to frequent floods and waterloggings.