Abstract
Green technology is an important path to achieve low-carbon development, and green credit provides financial support for green technology innovation. Existing literature often fails to pay attention to the important role of spatial factors and outliers in green technology innovation. Based on 2005–2022 provincial panel data in China, this paper uses a novel spatial lag quantile model to explore the impact of green credit on green technology innovation and its impact mechanism. The empirical results indicate that green credit exerts a greater positive impact on green technology in the provinces with moderate technical level. Technological innovation has the characteristic of spatial spillover. The spatial spillover of technology contributes more to green technology innovation in the provinces with low- and medium-tech level. This result has been proven even after robustness test of the changes in sample units, and the replacement of core variable values. Further mechanistic analysis demonstrates that banking market structure and enterprise R&D investment both produces the greater impact on green technology innovation in the low-tech provinces such as Qinghai, Ningxia, and Hainan. This article provides policy reference for local governments to formulate green finance policies and promote carbon neutrality strategies.
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