Forest Damage by Super Typhoon Rammasun and Post-Disturbance Recovery Using Landsat Imagery and the Machine-Learning Method

Abstract

Typhoon Rammasun landed on the southern coastal region of Guangdong and Hainan Provinces on 18 July 2014, and is the strongest recorded typhoon since the 1970s in China. It caused enormous losses in human lives, property, and crop yields in two provinces; however, its impact on forests and subsequent recovery has not yet been assessed. Here we detected forest damage area and severity from Typhoon Rammasun using Landsat 8 OLI imagery, the Random Forest (RF) machine-learning algorithm, and univariate image differencing (UID) methods, and the controlling factors on damage severity and canopy greenness recovery were further analyzed. The accuracy evaluations against sample plot data indicated that the RF approach can more accurately detect the affected forest area and damage severity than the UID-based methods, with higher overall accuracy (94%), Kappa coefficient (0.92), and regression coefficient (R2 = 0.81; p < 0.01). The affected forest area in Guangdong and Hainan was 13,556 km2 and 3914 km2, accounting for 13.8% and 18.5% total forest area, respectively. The highest affected forest fractions reached 70% in some cities or counties. The proportions of severe damage category accounted for 20.85% and 21.31% of all affected forests in Guangdong and Hainan, respectively. Our study suggests that increasing tree density and choosing less sensitive tree species would reduce damage from typhoons in vulnerable areas such as fringe, scattered, and high-slope forests. The canopy greenness of damaged forests recovered rapidly within three months for both provinces; however, management strategies should still be applied in the severely damaged areas to sustain forest functions since the persistent forest canopy structure and biomass may require a longer time to recover.