Forecasting the volume of passenger transportation by inland water transport

Abstract

The article discusses the currently used methods of forecasting passenger traffic volumes. The authors considered both statistical forecasting methods based on the construction of trend lines, and methods that take into account, in addition to the trend values of traffic volume indicators, other factors that affect the forecast values of passenger transport. On the example of water transport, the forecast values of traffic volumes were calculated by various methods, and the analysis of the calculation results was carried out.