FORECAST OF TIME PROBABLE DISEASES IN PERIOD OF EPIDEMICS OF INFLUENZA AND CORONAVIRUS

Abstract

Abstract. The purpose of the research is to determine the frequency of infection occurrence and use it for forecasting. According to the dates of human pathologies, the frequency of diseases (PZ) of 2400 parents and children, men and women was determined. To improve the accuracy of determining the PZ, astronomical units were used to record the time of occurrence of pathologies: 4 phases of the moon, 4 components of the moon's declination, and a day. The hereditary periodicity of diseases (NPD) was revealed, which is shown in graphic and digital forms. The refinery is used for predicting the time of probable acute infectious diseases and their complications. The goal of forecasting is to take timely preventive measures. 7 forecasting methods have been developed, 2 computer programs have been created that use different coordinate systems, and more than 1,600 computer forecasts have been made. With an error of + 1-4 days, 50% - 62% of diseases of children, women and men who were ill on average 3 times a year and more often are predicted. In 2014 registered application for invention No. 2014116101 "Method for simultaneous prediction of the time of probable acute infectious diseases of a person and the optimal date of vaccination". Rospatent's conclusion: ".. the invention can be implemented, but its practical applicability has not been confirmed." The implementation of the invention can be carried out in the period of the pandemic coronavirus. The conclusion about the "impracticability of forecasting" hinders the practical applicability of the invention and predicting the time of probable covid-19 diseases.