Forecast of China’s Future Nuclear Energy Development and Nuclear Safety Management Talents Development

Abstract

Firstly analyzes the global energy development, analyzes the impact of carbon emission reduction on the global energy structure, and forecasts the future energy demand and nuclear energy development prospects in the future (by 2040). The growth rate will be higher than the average growth rate of energy; China is one of the countries with the strongest growth in nuclear energy. Then analyzes China primary energy production and consumption, the conclusion is that the absolute production and consumption of non-fossil energy is steadily increasing year by year. According to China’s “Two centenary goals” development goals and future global energy demand and structure (up to 2050) to measure the future installed capacity of nuclear powers, conclusion is that China “Two centenary goals” goals on nuclear power generation capacity is 3.08 million kWh, 10.15 million kWh; Based on the structure of global energy demand and China development policy, it is estimated that China nuclear power generation will be 0.4 million kWh by 2020 and 1.81 million kWh by 2050.Finally, according to the estimated nuclear power installed capacity under different scenarios, calculate the corresponding number of nuclear safety management talents in the future. The conclusion is that China should give full support to nuclear safety management talents development.