For Whom - Main Agricultural Products in Guangdong Province Consumer Demand Research

Abstract

In recent years, the consumption demand of major agricultural products in Guangdong Province presents new characteristics, main consumption of agricultural products is the trend of different, rice and vegetable consumption to smooth fluctuations, edible oil, meat, fruits and aquatic products consumption showed varying degrees of growth. From the perspective of consumption structure, consumption structure of urban and rural agricultural products exist great differences, such as rice, vegetables urban per capita consumption of stabilization, the consumption of rural residents began to decline. The change of consumption structure led to the main agricultural products in Guangdong Province Import and export situation change, the import and export of the main agricultural products in Guangdong was deficit, most of the wheat and other grain need from other provinces transferred. By using GM (1, 1) model on the consumption of main agricultural products in Guangdong make demand forecasting, has found that consumer demand for the next ten years of rice, vegetables, edible oil, meat, fruits and aquatic products showed a trend of increase in the flat, and according to the forecast results to make the corresponding policy recommendations.