Fisher's Fundamental Theorem of Natural Selection Revisited

Abstract

W. J. Ewens, following G. R. Price, has stressed that Fisher's fundamental theorem of natural selection about the increase in mean fitness is of general validity without any restrictive assumptions on the mating system, the fitness parameters, or the numbers of loci and alleles involved, but that it concerns only a partial change in mean fitness. This partial change is obtained by replacing the actual genotypic fitnesses by the corresponding additive genetic values and by keeping these values fixed in the change of the mean with respect to changes in genotype frequencies. We propose an alternate interpretation for this partial change which uses partial changes in genotype frequencies directly consequent on changes in gene frequencies, the fitness parameters being kept constant. We argue that this interpretation agrees more closely with Fisher's own explanations. Moreover, this approach leads to a decomposition for the total change in mean fitness which explains, unifies, and extends previous decompositions. We consider a wide range of models, from discrete-time selection models with nonoverlapping generations to continuous-time models with overlapping generations and age effects on viability and fecundity, which is the original framework for Fisher's fundamental theorem.