Abstract

While the Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) index is a widely employed method of measuring progress in the United Nations (UN) SDGs, as it allows comparisons across countries and regions, it does not usually offer any indication as to how to move the SDGs forward. To address this deficit, we analyzed the impact of the offsetting effects of changes in individual SDG scores on the SDG index from 2015 to 2018 at the provincial level in China. Future priority goals are also revealed by accessing the interactions among the SDGs. Our findings show that both the number of SDGs that experienced an increase or decrease in the score and the degree of change in SDG scores have a major impact on changes in the SDG index score. For example, a decline in individual SDG scores at the national level usually represents a decline in the scores of more than 15 provinces, while an increase in the SDG score may mask the fact that some provinces have experienced a decline in their scores. In addition, changes in SDG scores can show some similarities in the strengths and weaknesses even across provinces in different geographical zones. The analysis of SDG interactions suggests that prioritizing the promotion of SDG7 (Affordable and Clean Energy) and SDG12 (Responsible Production and Consumption) will advance the synergistic development of SDGs in China. Overall, our study highlights the necessity to focus not only on regions with declining aggregated index scores but also on goals with declining scores in order to implement the SDGs as a whole. Meanwhile, leveraging the similarity of SDG changes to inform sustainable management policies will contribute to the overall implementation of the SDGs in different regions.

Highlights

  • How to effectively monitor and assess the level of sustainable development determines whether people can achieve this vision (Holden et al, 2014; Barbier, 2016)

  • The proposal of the United Nations (UN) sustainable development goals (SDGs) and its global indicator framework has provided an important reference for forming a common standard (United Nations, 2015, 2017), but the indicators at the global level may not be applicable at the sub-national level

  • By constructing a framework of SDG indicators applicable to China at the provincial level, we assess the offsetting effects of changes in China’s SDGs from 2015 to 2018 and their spatial variations, as well as the priority goals that will facilitate the overall implementation of SDGs

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Summary

Introduction

How to effectively monitor and assess the level of sustainable development determines whether people can achieve this vision (Holden et al, 2014; Barbier, 2016). As the ambiguity of sustainable development, some indicator frameworks differ from each other but even conflict with each other (Mair et al, 2017). The proposal of the United Nations (UN) sustainable development goals (SDGs) and its global indicator framework has provided an important reference for forming a common standard (United Nations, 2015, 2017), but the indicators at the global level may not be applicable at the sub-national level. Monitoring and assessing the progress of SDGs at the sub-national level is generally recognized as one of the priorities in advancing sustainable development (Allen et al, 2021), which is often influenced by the capacity of data monitoring, access, and integration, as well as whether robust assessment methods are available

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