Abstract

Objective To investigate features of fasting plasma glucose (FPG) during different trimesters and hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) in the third trimester of pregnant women in Zhujing Region of Shanghai. Methods A total of 606 cases of pregnant women who received prenatal examination and 75 g oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) in Jinshan Branch of Shanghai Sixth People′s Hospital from January 1 to December 31, 2014 were collected as research subjects. According to the results of 75 g OGTT, they were divided into gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) group (n=136) and non-GDM group (n=470). The clinical data, such as age, body mass index (BMI), as well as the concentration of FPG during different pregnancy trimesters and level of HbA1c in the third trimester were collected retrospectively in both two groups by retrospective analysis method. According to the quartile method, level of HbA1c in the third trimester of all subjects were divided into four ranges: Q1 (HbA1c level<5.1%), Q2 (5.1%≤HbA1c level<5.2%), Q3 (5.2%≤HbA1c level<5.5%), and Q4 (HbA1c level≥5.5%), respectively. The age, BMI, concentrations of FPG and the level of HbA1c between two groups were compared by independent-samples t test. Chi-square test was used to compare the GDM incidence of all subjects with different ranges of HbA1c level in the third trimester, and further comparison was conducted by adjusting inspection level. Then receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve of HbA1c level in the third trimester for predicting the incidence of GDM was drawn, and the area under ROC curve (ROC-AUC) was calculated. The optimal critical value of HbA1c level in the third trimester for predicting the incidence of GDM was obtained when the Youden index reaching the maximum value. And its sensitivity and specificity were calculated. This study met the requirements of the World Medical Association Declaration of Helsinki revised in 2013. Results ①The age and BMI of GDM group were higher than those in non-GDM group, and there were statistically significant differences (t=5.306, 5.250; P<0.001). Among the subjects in GDM group, the concentration of FPG in second trimester was the highest among 3 trimesters, which was (4.9±0.6) mmol/L, and the concentration of FPG in second trimester was higher than that in first and third trimester, respectively, and both the differences were statistically significant (t=2.087, 1.960; P=0.039, 0.041). Among the subjects in non-GDM group, the concentration of FPG in first trimester was the highest among 3 trimesters, which was (4.6±0.3) mmol/L, and the concentration of FPG in first trimester was higher than that in second and third trimester, respectively, and both the differences were statistically significant (t=15.230, 5.613; P<0.001). The concentration of FPG in first, second and third trimesters of GDM group were higher than those of non-GDM group, respectively, and there were statistically significant differences (t=5.416, 15.526, 4.471; P<0.001). Besides, HbA1c level in third trimester of GDM group was (5.6±0.4)%, which was higher than that of non-GDM group (5.4±0.4)%, and there was significant difference (t=5.845, P<0.01). ②There was statistical difference in GDM incidences in all subjects with different ranges of HbA1c levels in third trimester (χ2=22.707, P<0.001). Multiple comparison results showed that the incidences of GDM in all subjects with Q1 and Q2 ranges of HbA1c levels in third trimester were higher than that in subjects with Q4 range of HbA1c levels in third trimester, respectively, and both the differences were statistically significant (χ2=15.071, 16.785; P<0.001). ③The results of ROC curve analysis of HbA1c level in third trimester in predicting the incidence of GDM showed that the ROC-AUC was 0.647 (95%CI: 0.625-0.672, P<0.001), and the optimal cut-off value of HbA1c level in third trimester to predict GDM incidence was 5.5%, and the sensitivity of HbA1c level in predicting the incidence of GDM was 63.4%, and the sensitivity was 69.7%. Conclusions The concentrations of FPG in GDM pregnant women in Zhujing Region of Shanghai begin to increase from the first trimester and peak during the second trimester, and decrease during the third trimester after lifestyle intervention. It is advisable for GDM pregnant women to control HbA1c levels below 5.5% during the third trimester. Key words: Diabetes, gestational; Fasting plasma glucose; Hemoglobin A, glycosylated; Glucose tolerance test; ROC curve; Forecasting; Pregnant women

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