Abstract

Abstract. Parameterizations for physical processes in weather and climate models are computationally expensive. We use model output from the Weather Research Forecast (WRF) climate model to train deep neural networks (DNNs) and evaluate whether trained DNNs can provide an accurate alternative to the physics-based parameterizations. Specifically, we develop an emulator using DNNs for a planetary boundary layer (PBL) parameterization in the WRF model. PBL parameterizations are used in atmospheric models to represent the diurnal variation in the formation and collapse of the atmospheric boundary layer – the lowest part of the atmosphere. The dynamics and turbulence, as well as velocity, temperature, and humidity profiles within the boundary layer are all critical for determining many of the physical processes in the atmosphere. PBL parameterizations are used to represent these processes that are usually unresolved in a typical climate model that operates at horizontal spatial scales in the tens of kilometers. We demonstrate that a domain-aware DNN, which takes account of underlying domain structure (e.g., nonlocal mixing), can successfully simulate the vertical profiles within the boundary layer of velocities, temperature, and water vapor over the entire diurnal cycle. Results also show that a single trained DNN from one location can produce predictions of wind speed, temperature, and water vapor profiles over nearby locations with similar terrain conditions with correlations higher than 0.9 when compared with the WRF simulations used as the training dataset.

Highlights

  • Model developers use approximations to represent the physical processes involved in climate and weather that cannot be resolved at the spatial resolution of the model grids or in cases where the phenomena are not fully understood (Williams, 2005)

  • While we focus on learning the planetary boundary layer (PBL) parameterization and developing domain-aware neural network (NN) for the emulation of PBL, the ultimate goal of our ongoing project is to build an NN-based algorithm to empirically understand the process in the numerical weather/climate models that could be used to replace the physics parameterizations that were derived from observational studies

  • In the following discussion we evaluate the efficacy of the three deep neural networks (DNNs) by comparing their prediction results with Weather Research Forecast (WRF) model simulations

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Summary

Introduction

Model developers use approximations to represent the physical processes involved in climate and weather that cannot be resolved at the spatial resolution of the model grids or in cases where the phenomena are not fully understood (Williams, 2005). These approximations are referred to as parameterizations (McFarlane, 2011). In the Weather Research Forecast (WRF) model, with spatial resolution of tens of kilometers, time spent by physics is approximately 40 % of the computational burden. The input and output overhead is around 20 % of the computational time at low node count (100s) and can increase significantly at higher node count as a percentage of the total wall-clock time

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