Abstract

This study evaluates the impacts of reduction in chemical inputs use, as defined to the Farm to Fork strategy, on the Italian agricultural sector based on current production practices and technologies, as well as market and political framework. The impacts are evaluated in terms of some economic, environmental and social indicators, and are shown and discussed both geographic area and types of farming. The analysis was conducted on all Farm Accountancy Data Network (FADN) sample of Italian farms in various years, about 40,000 farms, by using the AGRITALIM model.The main results show an improvement in environmental sustainability of agricultural production in terms of lower use of chemical. Negative socio-economic and productive impacts are observed overall in the national territory, but some areas are more affected. The reduction of income could especially affect some types of farming and smaller farms.In conclusion, the Farm to Fork strategy could be a fundamental impetus to review some failings and weaknesses of European agriculture. Our analysis shows that targeted and forward-looking interventions are especially important for some types of farming, production sectors and territories. New research is needed to support the choices of stakeholders regarding policy support and innovation in agriculture. Political interventions are needed to incentivize farmers to adopt environmentally friendly agricultural practices and limit income losses. Genetic and technological innovations could play a fundamental role in limiting the reductions of agricultural production and modernizing farms.

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