Abstract
BackgroundHypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) is a common inherited cardiac disease, and clinical and genetic family screening is recommended by guidelines. ObjectivesThis study sought to investigate the diagnostic yield of screening relatives of HCM patients and identify predictive factors for HCM development during long-term follow-up in relatives from gene-elusive families. MethodsThis was a retrospective cohort study of families screened at clinics for inherited cardiomyopathies in Eastern Denmark, from 2006 to 2023. ResultsWe included 1,230 relatives (55% female; age: 42 ± 17 years) from 531 families. The combined clinical and genetic yield at baseline was 26% (n = 321). After 7 years (mean) of follow-up (6,762 person-years), 43 (4%) additional relatives developed HCM. The strongest predictors of developing HCM were carrying a likely pathogenic/pathogenic variant (HR: 4.58; 95% CI: 2.50-8.40; P < 0.001) and larger left ventricular maximum wall thickness (MWT) (HR: 2.21 per mm; 95% CI: 1.76-2.77 per mm; P < 0.001). In gene-elusive families, we found that an MWT of ≥10 mm represented the optimal classification threshold for developing HCM (area under the curve: 0.80), with only 2 (0.4%) relatives from gene-elusive families with an MWT of <10 mm developing HCM during follow-up. ConclusionsIn HCM, the diagnostic yield of a single screening visit was 1 in 4, and the additional yield during 7 years of follow-up was 4%. Gene carriers and relatives from gene-elusive families with a baseline MWT of ≥10 mm were at the highest risk of developing HCM during follow-up. These findings may inform future recommendations on the management of relatives of HCM patients.
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