Abstract
Field aging of outdoor polymeric insulators results in unscheduled outages in power systems particularly in harsh climate conditions. In this paper, a strategic maintenance framework is proposed in order to prevent overhead line outages. The presented scheme is based on condition assessment of the real aged polymeric insulators. Data of tensile test, hardness test, thermogravimetric analysis (TGA), and Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy (FTIR) are used to extract critical features of the aged samples based on classification of fuzzy c-means clustering. Then, a lifetime prediction analysis is done based on Cox hazards analysis to develop further maintenance strategy. The proposed model is validated through numerical analyses on polymeric insulators for various validation evaluations including pollution severity analysis and hydrophobicity class (HC) measurement. Obtained results verify accuracy of the intelligent model to predict lifetime of the aged polymeric insulators. The presented strategic framework can be effectively applied to online monitoring, condition assessment and preventive maintenance programs of the power system utilities.
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