External orderliness-synergy of electric power industry in Yangtze River Delta during energy transition period

Abstract

Many industrialized countries are pursuing energy transition, but their focuses are different. It is necessary and realistic for the Chinese government to scientifically define the Orderliness-Synergy attribute during the energy transition period, and emphatically analyze the interaction among sub-industries. Yangtze River Delta economic zone, the strongest economic center in comprehensive strength of China, plays an exemplary role in the energy transition. This paper focuses on the interaction between the evolution of electric power industry and the development of the three industries during the transition period, initially forms the theoretical analysis framework of external Orderliness-Synergy by making use of some advanced theories in different disciplines, constructs the Orderliness Measurement Model and the Synergy Measurement Model based on the theoretical framework, and determines an index system of order parameters to carry out empirical analysis on the Yangtze River Delta region. At the same time, the power function prediction method is used to make a short-term prediction of the orderliness-synergy evolution of electric power industry and the three industries in the Yangtze River Delta. The results show that: (1) From the perspective of orderliness-synergy among industries, the electric power industry in the Yangtze River Delta region is still in a serious misalignment state during development and evolution; (2) the Orderliness of both the electric power industry and the three industries in the Yangtze River Delta region is constantly adjusting and evolving towards a more rational direction; (3) the external Orderliness-Synergy among the industrial system is realized on the premise of the orderliness of each sub-industry not only, but also affects the orderliness of each sub-industry by feedback. The results will be intended to provide technical support for system construction, policy formulation, and regulatory implementation in the domain of energy sustainable transition.