Abstract
Fuzzy expert assessment of the current state and prospects for changing technologies is based on knowledge of the subject area of research, understanding of foresight priorities, and the choice of components whose loss leads to maximum damage to functionality. The relevance of the structural analysis of technologies is justified, the basic components and their weights are highlighted (by the example of poultry farming), and the positions of agricultural technologies are defined in the coordinates «level of innovation – impact on cost» are determined. Basic components of the technology are input and output flows; volume-space parameters of objects; technological mode of operations, materials, reagents, biologics; machines, equipment, vehicles; means of automation and computerization of quality control and management; staff competencies. A graphic technique of technology choice in the conditions of market uncertainty, constant risk and instability of agricultural production conditions is considered. The results of the study can serve as a working tool to facilitate the construction of the expert’s chain of reasoning.
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