Expected impact of the bankruptcy of leading foreign banks on the banking system of Ukraine

Abstract

The purpose of the article is to study the problems associated with the possible unfolding of the banking crisis in the USA and European countries, the content of state regulatory measures aimed at ensuring the financial stability of Ukrainian banks, which will be implemented consecutively from February 2022, the justification of additional, most urgent measures aimed at overcoming existing problems in the country’s banking system. General scientific and special methods are used: analysis, synthesis, grouping, description, comparison, theoretical generalization and abstract-logical. In the course of the research, it was concluded that the bankruptcy of some leading foreign banks should not have a significant negative impact on the banking sector of the Ukrainian economy. The article also discloses the content of state regulatory measures aimed at ensuring the financial stability of Ukrainian banks, which include the implementation of full (regardless of the amount and currency) state guarantee of bank deposits of individuals, providing banks with the required amount of refinancing, a radical increase in the discount rate, active accumulation of international reserves, withdrawal of problem banks from the market, activation of the use of norms of mandatory reservation of funds raised by banks, reduction of the rate on overnight deposit certificates, activation of the work of the Financial Stability Council. The positive consequences of the implementation of a set of measures to support the banking system of Ukraine were determined, in particular: a decrease in inflation rates, strengthening of the hryvnia exchange rate, preservation of profitability of the banking system, gradual restoration of bank capitalization. Problems that require the adoption of additional regulatory measures by the state are highlighted, namely the increase in the share of problem loans and the actual suspension of credit activities of banks. A number of measures are proposed within the framework of improving the current monetary policy of Ukraine: development of the mechanism of “emergency” refinancing of banks in case of rapid spread of crisis phenomena; unconditional adherence to the policy of “expensive money”; limitation of emission and money supply growth rates; restoration of the practice of compulsory sale of a part of the foreign currency earnings of exporters; ensuring further “fine-tuning” of the current method of mandatory reservation of the funds involved; settlement of the “new” NPL management procedure; creation of a specialized state institution for the management of problem assets to accept NPL portfolios of state banks on the balance sheet. The results of the research can be used at the level of the National Bank and the government in the process of forming urgent measures in the field of monetary policy implementation.
 JEL classіfіcatіon: E31, E40, E42, E50, E52, F31, F35