Abstract
Computers can substitute for many tasks currently performed by humans and are likely to change occupations in the near future. However, it is not likely that entire occupations will disappear. In this context, little attention has been paid to possible impacts of digital transformation on aspects of work quality. It would be desirable for changes to ease occupations with high work exposure. In this article, we assume that digital technologies may replace physically demanding jobs mainly performed by men, but not psychosocially demanding jobs mainly performed by women. Thus, the question arises whether social inequality between men and women may increase in the course of digital transformation. Using large-scale administrative and survey data from Germany, we analyse the relationship between digital transformation and work exposure for male- and female-dominated occupations. We measure the degree of digital transformation by occupation-specific substitution potential, that is the extent to which occupational tasks can be replaced by computers or computer-controlled machines. The results imply that digital technologies could relieve men of physically demanding jobs. However, we cannot find any evidence that digital technologies have already caused employment to decline in occupations with physical work exposure.
Highlights
In the current debate on the increasing dissemination of digital technologies, it is assumed that digital transformation is associated with disruptive social and economic consequences for the labour market
Little attention has been paid to the impact of digital transformation on the central aspects of work quality (Kirchner 2015) or the human structuring of workplaces (Guhlemann et al 2018)
As stated in the theoretical section, we expect the substitution potential to be positively associated with physical work exposure (Hypothesis 1)
Summary
In the current debate on the increasing dissemination of digital technologies, it is assumed that digital transformation is associated with disruptive social and economic consequences for the labour market. New occupations and tasks may arise owing to technological progress. In this debate, little attention has been paid to the impact of digital transformation on the central aspects of work quality (Kirchner 2015) or the human structuring of workplaces (Guhlemann et al 2018). Little attention has been paid to the impact of digital transformation on the central aspects of work quality (Kirchner 2015) or the human structuring of workplaces (Guhlemann et al 2018) In this respect, it has been argued that the occupational change driven by digital transformation may create an increasing number of occupations with low work exposure and eliminate (physically) demanding tasks. Reinert (2016) states that the digital transition brings along many op-
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