Examining the interactive associations of cannabis and alcohol outlets with self-harm injuries in California: a spatiotemporal analysis.

Abstract

Cannabis use and alcohol use are associated with self-harm injuries, but little research has assessed links between recreational cannabis outlet openings on rates of self-harm within communities or the interactions of cannabis outlets with the density of alcohol outlets. We estimated the associations of recreational cannabis outlets, alcohol outlets, and their interaction on rates of fatal and nonfatal self-harm injuries in California, 2017-2019. Using California statewide data on recreational cannabis outlets, alcohol outlets, and hospital discharges and deaths due to self-harm injuries, we conducted Bayesian spatiotemporal analyses of quarterly ZIP code-level data over 3 years, accounting for confounders and spatial autocorrelation. Using the model posteriors, we estimated parameters corresponding to hypothetical shifts in outlet densities. If recreational cannabis outlets had never opened, we estimated that nonfatal self-harm injuries would have been -0.35 per 100,000 lower (95% credible interval: -1.25, 0.51), while fatal self-harm injuries would have been -0.004 per 100,000 lower (95%CI: -0.26, 0.25). These associations did not depend on alcohol outlet density, but a hypothetical 20% reduction in alcohol outlet densities was associated with fewer self-harm injuries (RD per 100,000, nonfatal: -1.59; 95%CI: -2.60, -0.59; fatal: -0.10; 95%CI: -0.37, 0.16). Associations for nonfatal incidents were strongest for people aged 15-34 years, and White and Hispanic people. We did not find evidence that the introduction of recreational cannabis outlets was associated with self-harm injuries or that cannabis and alcohol outlet densities interact, but alcohol outlet density had a strong association with nonfatal self-harm injuries.