Abstract
Countries aiming for sustainability in economic growth and development ensure the reliability of energy supplies. For countries to provide their energy needs uninterruptedly, it is important for domestic and renewable energy sources to be utilised. For this reason, the supply of reliable and sustainable energy has become an important issue that concerns and occupies mankind. Of the renewable energy sources, wind energy is a clean, reliable and inexhaustible source of energy with low operating costs. Turkey is a rich nation in terms of wind energy potential. Forecasting of investment efficiency is an important issue before and during the investment period in wind energy investment process because of high investment costs. It is aimed to forecast the wind energy products monthly with multilayer neural network approach in this study. For this aim a feed forward back propagation neural network model has been established. As a set of data, wind speed values 48 months (January 2012-December 2015) have been used. The training data set occurs from 36 monthly wind speed values (January 2012-December 2014) and the test data set occurs from other values (January-December 2015). Analysis findings show that the trained Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) have the ability of accurate prediction for the samples that are not used at training phase. The prediction errors for the wind energy plantation values are ranged between 0.00494-0.015035. Also the overall mean prediction error for this prediction is calculated as 0.004818 (0.48%). In general, we can say that ANNs be able to estimate the aspect of wind energy plant productions.
Highlights
Turkey is one of the developing countries, the economic change experienced in recent years has led to a rapid increase in demand in the energy sector, as it has in other sectors
Electricity production in Turkey in 2017 increased by 5.6% to 294.8 GWh compared with the previous year. 37% of this production was obtained from natural gas, 33% was obtained from coal, 20% from hydraulic energy, 6% from wind energy, 2% from geothermal energy and 2% from other sources [1]
In 2017, approximately 70% of electricity production came from fossil sources, namely coal, liquid fuels and natural gas, while about 28% was obtained from renewable energy sources
Summary
Turkey is one of the developing countries, the economic change experienced in recent years has led to a rapid increase in demand in the energy sector, as it has in other sectors. While electricity production in Turkey showed an average annual increase of 3.6% between the years 1970 and 2000, electricity production increased annually by 8.9% on average between 2000 and 2017 years. In this regard, Turkey was one of the OECD countries in which energy demand increased the most rapidly. In 2017, approximately 70% of electricity production came from fossil sources, namely coal, liquid fuels and natural gas, while about 28% was obtained from renewable energy sources. Considering the overall picture of energy in Turkey in recent years, providing the required energy from domestic and renewable sources has become essential
Sign-in/Register to view highlights & summary Talk to us
Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have
Schedule a callMore From: An International Journal of Optimization and Control: Theories & Applications (IJOCTA)
Disclaimer: All third-party content on this website/platform is and will remain the property of their respective owners and is provided on "as is" basis without any warranties, express or implied. Use of third-party content does not indicate any affiliation, sponsorship with or endorsement by them. Any references to third-party content is to identify the corresponding services and shall be considered fair use under The CopyrightLaw.
