Abstract

Studies have reported that higher circulating levels of total cholesterol (TC), low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol and lower of high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol may be associated with increased risk of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA). Whether dyslipidemia causes AAA is still unclear and is potentially testable using a Mendelian randomization (MR) approach. We investigated the associations between blood lipids and AAA using two-sample MR analysis with SNP-lipids association estimates from a published genome-wide association study of blood lipids (n = 188,577) and SNP-AAA association estimates from European Americans (EAs) of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study (n = 8,793). We used inverse variance weighted (IVW) MR as the primary method and MR-Egger regression and weighted median MR estimation as sensitivity analyses. Over a median of 22.7 years of follow-up, 338 of 8,793 ARIC participants experienced incident clinical AAA. Using the IVW method, we observed positive associations of plasma LDL cholesterol and TC with the risk of AAA (odds ratio (OR) = 1.55, P = 0.02 for LDL cholesterol and OR = 1.61, P = 0.01 for TC per 1 standard deviation of lipid increment). Using the MR-Egger regression and weighted median methods, we were able to validate the association of AAA risk with TC, although the associations were less consistent for LDL cholesterol due to wider confidence intervals. Triglycerides and HDL cholesterol were not associated with AAA in any of the MR methods. Assuming instrumental variable assumptions are satisfied, our finding suggests that higher plasma TC and LDL cholesterol are causally associated with the increased risk of AAA in EAs.

Highlights

  • Abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) affects about 1–2% of women and 4%-8% of men over 65 years old based on screening studies.[1]

  • A few prospective studies tested the associations between lipids and AAA risk, and they reported an inverse relationship between high-density lipoprotein (HDL) and AAA and positive relationships between total cholesterol (TC), low-density lipoprotein (LDL), triglycerides and AAA.[10,11,12,13,14]

  • Using the Mendelian randomization (MR) approaches, we identified a significant association between AAA and TC and replicated the previously reported association for LDL-C in European Americans (EAs)

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Summary

Introduction

Abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) affects about 1–2% of women and 4%-8% of men over 65 years old based on screening studies.[1]. The Mendelian randomization approach is a method to estimate the causal effect of an exposure on a disease outcome by using genetic variant(s) as instrumental variable(s) (IVs) of the exposure. The causal effect of the exposure on the outcome can be estimated via the IV (genetic variant), regardless of the presence of confounding variables between the exposure and outcome.[15] The three main assumptions for Mendelian randomization include that the IV: (i) is associated with the exposure; (ii) is not associated with any confounder of the exposure—outcome association; and (iii) is conditionally independent of the outcome, given the exposure and confounders. We aimed to conduct a Mendelian randomization study to investigate a potential causal link between plasma lipids and AAA in the European Americans (EAs) of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study, using lipidrelated single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) as IVs

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