Evaluation of the prognostic performance of different cutoff values of lymph node ratio staging system for stage III colorectal cancer.

Abstract

This study attempted to compare the prognostic performance of lymph node ratio (LNR) staging system with different cutoff values relative to American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) pN staging system in stage III colorectal cancer (CRC). Overall, 45,069 patients from the SEER dataset and 69 patients from the Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University (the External set) who underwent surgical resection of the primary tumor and were diagnosed with stage III CRC by postoperative pathology were included. Patients were divided into three subgroups based on the LNR cutoff used in previous studies, Kaplan-Meier curves were plotted, and log-rank test was used to compare the differences among groups in terms of cancer-specific survival (CSS). Cox regression model was applied for survival analysis. To evaluate the discriminatory power of different lymph node staging systems, Harrell's C statistic(C-index) and Akaike's Information Criterion (AIC) were applied. A set of optimal cutoff values (0.11; 0.36; 0.66) of LNR staging system with the most considerable discriminatory power to the prognosis in patients with stage III CRC (SEER set: C-index = 0.714; AIC = 58,942.46, External set: C-index = 0.809; AIC = 164.36) were obtained, and both were superior to the AJCC pN staging system (SEER set: C-index = 0.708; AIC = 59,071.20, External set: C-index = 0.788; AIC = 167.06). For evaluating the prognostic efficacy of patients with stage III colorectal cancer, the cutoff value (0.11; 0.36; 0.66) of LNR staging system had the best discrimination and prognostic ability, which was superior to LNR staging system under other cutoff values and AJCC pN staging system.