EVALUATION OF THE INFLUENCE OF SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC DETERMINANTS ON THE STATE OF PUBLIC HEALTH ON THE BASIS OF MICROIMITATION MODELING

Abstract

In the article the essence and peculiarities of microimitational modeling are considered. The advantages of microimitational models over the statistics models are substantiated. Micro-simulation models, that prognosticate somehow dynamic changes in health and which are most appropriate to use in development and health research policy, such as POHEM, CORSIM and Sife Paths, are outlined. It is proposed to use elements of statistical and dynamic microimitation modeling, agent modeling and the concept of a life course for the estimation of the influence social and economic determinants. The synthetic model of population which has been formed on the basis of representative data sets of sample surveys of living conditions of households and economic activity of the population of the State Employment Service of Ukraine, as well as microdata of the Multicultural Survey of the Population of Ukraine (2012) and the Medical and Demographic Survey (2013). The generalized scheme of the method of microimulation modeling of the influence of social and economic determinants on the health status of the population of Ukraine has been developed. The influence of the main determinants on the health of certain age, gender and social and economic groups of the population is estimated on the basis of the methodology of synthetic data.