Abstract
An evaluation is made of various rules and methods to forecast the 30-hour displacement of a particular type of cyclone during the winter months in eastern United States. Lows of the class considered have had a past track from the SW and are moving under SW flow aloft. The “normal” movement of the class is defined and is used to measure the accuracy of the rules examined. Graphs are presented showing the comparative results for 30-hour speed, direction and final position forecasts.
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