Abstract

Accurately assessment of water hazard level in coal mine can improve the water hazard prevention and control in coal mine and reduce the occurrence of water inrush disaster. Based on the theoretical and practical study of coal mine water disaster accidents, a water disaster assessment index system was established. The transformation between qualitative and quantitative indicators was realized by the matter-element extension theory and the cloud model, the state value of the index and the corresponding risk grade membership value were determined by the connection cloud model, and the method of game theory was used to value the comprehensive weight of evaluation index to reduce the randomness and subjectivity in the determination of weight. Based on the principle of distance similarity, the evolution trend of risk can was estimated to strengthen the early warning of trend risk. The application in Feicheng mining area showed that the extension connection cloud model evaluation is appropriate to the evaluation of coal mine water hazard, and the quantitative characterization of water hazard risk is of great significance to guide coal production to be safe.

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