Evaluation of planetary boundary layer schemes on the urban heat islands in the urban agglomeration over the greater bay area in South China

Abstract

Urbanization of large cities exerts significant changes in surface air temperature, which subsequently lead to inadvertent local weather and climate changes. The exchanges of momentum, moisture and heat within the planetary boundary layer (PBL) impact the urban atmosphere representation. The applicability of PBL schemes in regional modeling varies with different climate regimes and underlying surface. As the first step to gaining a better forecast of urban climates, the performances of multiple PBL schemes (YSU, MRF, ACM2, BL, MYNN, UW and GBM) on reproducing the low-level urban atmosphere are evaluated over the Greater Bay Area, South China, during April–June 2018. With the aid of observations from in situ weather stations and radiosondes, the urban environmental characteristics, including surface air temperature and humidity, temperature profile, urban heat island (UHI), and PBL height, are assessed. The results show a cool/moist bias near the surface during nighttime and a warm/dry bias during daytime for all PBL schemes. The daytime bias is significant on weak-UHI days while the nocturnal bias appears to be significant on strong-UHI days. The so-called best scheme depends on the exact meteorological variables, diurnal cycles, and thermodynamic conditions that are of interest. Specifically, the MYNN and MRF schemes perform the best for the daytime and nighttime air temperature, respectively. The MRF scheme also presents the best performance in simulating the observed UHI, with a good agreement with the observed diurnal variation. The numerical exercises in this study may serve as a reference for an efficient operational way that is readily accessible to forecast air temperature in the urban agglomeration over South China.