Evaluation of Molecular Residual Disease by a Fixed Panel in Resectable Colorectal Cancer.

Abstract

Molecular residual disease (MRD) is a promising biomarker in colorectal cancer (CRC) for prognosis and guiding treatment, while the whole-exome sequencing (WES) based tumor-informed assay is standard for evaluating MRD based on circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA). In this study, we assessed the feasibility of a fixed-panel for evaluating MRD in CRC. 75 patients with resectable stage I-III CRC were enrolled. Tumor tissues obtained by surgery, and pre-operative and post-operative day 7 blood samples were collected. The ctDNA was evaluated using the tumor-agnostic and tumor-informed fixed assays, as well as the WES-based and panel-based personalized assays in randomly selected patients. The tumor-informed fixed assay had a higher pre-operative positive rate than the tumor-agnostic assay (73.3% vs 57.3%). The pre-op ctDNA status failed to predict disease-free survival (DFS) in either of the fixed assays, while the tumor-informed fixed assay-determined post-op ctDNA positivity was significantly associated with worse DFS (HR, 20.74, 95%CI 7.19-59.83; p<0.001), which was an independent predictor by multivariable analysis (HR, 28.57, 95%CI 7.10-114.9; p<0.001). Sub-cohort analysis indicated the WES-based personalized assay had the highest pre-operative positive rate (95.1%). The two personalized assays and the tumor-informed fixed assay demonstrated same results in post-op landmark (HR, 26.34, 95%CI, 6.01-115.57; p<0.001), outperforming the tumor-agnostic fixed panel (HR, 3.04, 95%CI, 0.94-9.89; p=0.052). Our study confirmed the prognostic value of the ctDNA positivity at post-op day 7 by the tumor-informed fixed panel. The tumor-informed fixed panel may be a cost-effective method to evaluate MRD, which warrants further studies in future.