Evaluation of Inundation Probability and Inundation Depth through Rainfall–Runoff Analysis

Abstract

Because of their enclosed nature, underground spaces are more vulnerable to flooding than above-ground structures. As a result, flooding disasters have the potential to cause widespread casualties. Major domestic plan manuals such as ‘Waterproof Standards Plan Manual for Underground Space Flood Prevention’ suggest that the expected flood height is determined and measures are established to ensure safety for underground facilities located in areas where flooding is expected, but no clear methods and standards are presented. In this study, an inundation prediction chart was prepared by performing a one-dimensional (EPA-SWMM) model analysis using the probability rainfall, respectively. Then, data on the depth of inundation where the underground facility is located were extracted using a two-dimensional (FLO2D) model analysis. Using inundation depth and weather data, the probability of inundation for underground facilities and the expected inundation height were quantitatively evaluated through @RISK. Based on the quantitative assessment, it was determined that there was a 7.7% possibility of inundation in an underground space in the case of a 2 h time frame (average inundation depth: 0.1557 m), and a 13.3% possibility in the case of a 3 h time frame (average inundation depth: 0.1655 m). It would be possible to contribute to the development of countermeasures and manuals for underground space flooding using the quantitative assessment described above.