Evaluating risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection of the elderly in the public bus under personalized air supply.

Abstract

In developing countries, public transportation is the first choice for the elderly because of its convenience and cheapness. The high density population of public transportation increases the risk of passengers contracting infectious diseases, so it is extremely critical to determine healthy transportation systems to safeguard the health of passengers. The propagation characteristics of droplets in the ZK-type public bus were studied by computational fluid simulation employing the Realizable k-ε turbulence model and discrete phase model. The modified Wells-Riley model was used to quantitatively assess the infection risk of SARS-CoV-2 spread by droplets on the elderly. The risk assessment shows that when the personalized air supply angle is 30°, the number of infected passengers is the least, reaching 14, which shows that the infection risk of passengers can be reduced through the design of personalized air supply angle. Regardless of the angle of the personalized air supply, the rear seats are in a low-risk area. Therefore, it's recommended that elderly passengers choose the rear seats of the public bus during the epidemic to prevent being infected. This study can provide a reference for healthy transportation systems to construct a healthy environment inside the public bus.