Evaluating MONICA's capability to simulate water, carbon and nitrogen fluxes in a wet grassland at contrasting water tables

Abstract

Wet grasslands, which are vital for water and nutrient regulation, are characterised by distinct water, carbon (C) and nitrogen (N) dynamics, and their interactions. Due to their shallow groundwater table, wet grasslands promote a strong interconnection between diverse vegetation and soil water. Researchers have investigated how wet grasslands respond to environmental changes, using various simulation models to understand how these sites contribute to water, C and N dynamics. However, a comprehensive, simultaneous study of all three of these dynamics is still lacking. This study makes use of a grassland lysimeter study with differently managed groundwater levels and employs the process-based MOdel for NItrogen and Carbon dynamics in Agroecosystems (MONICA) to simulate these dynamics. By using SPOTPY (Statistical Parameter Optimization Tool) to optimise the relevant parameters, we find that MONICA performs well in simulating vegetation growth (aboveground biomass), and elements of the water (evapotranspiration), C (gross primary productivity, ecosystem respiration) and N (N in aboveground biomass, nitrate in soil solution, Nitrous oxide emissions) balance, with Willmott's Refined Index of Agreement always larger than 0.35. This level of accuracy demonstrates that MONICA is ready to be applied for scenario simulations of groundwater management and climate change to evaluate their impact on greenhouse gas emissions and long-term carbon storage, as well as water and nitrogen losses in wet grasslands.