Estimation of some Climatological Parameters by WEKA Software for Selective Regions in Iraq

Abstract

An Estimation is a direct summation that can produce new data from past measurements. In this study, we confirm the possibility of using the (WEKA) program in estimating the monthly values of some climatological parameters and investigate the influence of the time series' length parameters on the accuracy of estimation for selected regions of Iraq. Satellite data were used, which represent the monthly values for each of the minimum and maximum temperature, wind velocity, and relative humidity for the 1981 – 2021 time period, the absolute error rate (MAE), and the square root of the error rate (RMSE) with the correlation ( R2) are also identified to test the confidence of the prediction. Using (WEKA) software, which depends only on the time series of the parameters in the estimation, 12 months were estimated for the mentioned parameters. The estimated values by WEKA were close to the satellite data, thus we can depend on the software as a good source of meteorological data. Also, the study indicates that the time series' length strongly affects the accuracy of the estimation, as the increase in the time series of weather parameters increases the estimate's accuracy, and this increase fluctuates among parameters and varies from one region to another.