Abstract

Methods are proposed for spline estimation of monotone regression surfaces, without additivity assumptions and allowing for linear covariate effects. The surfaces are estimated by a continuous piece-wise warped-plane spline with linear inequality constraints. Surface and covariate effects are estimated simultaneously with cone projection, leading to useful inference methods. For surfaces in two predictors, a cube-root convergence rate is attained, and conditions for square-root convergence of the linear terms are derived. Point-wise confidence intervals for the surfaces incorporate mixtures of covariance matrices, with the mixing parameters estimation by simulations. The methods are implemented in the R package cgam.

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