Abstract

Sugarcane suffers from the increased frequency and severity of droughts and floods, negatively affecting growing conditions. Climate change has affected cultivation, and the growth dynamics have changed over the years. The identification of the development stages of sugarcane is necessary to reduce its vulnerability. Traditional methods are inefficient when detecting those changes, especially when estimating sugarcane maturity—a critical step in sugarcane production. Hence, the study aimed to develop a cost- and time-effective method to estimate sugarcane maturity using high spatial-resolution remote sensing data. Images were acquired using a drone. Field samples were collected and measured in the laboratory for brix and pol values. Normalized Difference Water Index, Green Normalized Difference Vegetation Index and green band were chosen (highest correlation with field samples) for further analysis. Random forest (RF), Support Vector Machine (SVM), and multi-linear regression models were used to predict sugarcane maturity using the brix and pol variables. The best performance was obtained from the RF model. Hence, the maturity index of the study area was calculated based on the RF model results. It was found that the field plot has not yet reached maturity for harvesting. The developed cost- and time-effective method allows temporal crop monitoring and optimizes the harvest time.

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