Estimating relative sunshine duration from commonly available meteorological variables for simulating biome distribution in the Carpathian Region

Abstract

Bright sunshine duration (BSD) data are required for simulating biomes using process-based vegetation models. However, monthly global paleoclimate datasets that can be used in paleo data–model comparisons do not necessarily contain BSD or radiation data. Considering the theoretical and practical aspects, the scheme of Yin, X. (1999) is here recommended to estimate monthly time series of relative BSD using only monthly climate and location data. As a case study for the Carpathian Region, the efficiency of both the original and a variant of that scheme is analysed in this paper. The alternative scheme has high applicability in paleoenvironmental studies. Comparison of the estimated and observed BSD data shows that from May to August, the value of relative root mean squared error in more than 90 percent of the study area does not exceed the threshold of 20 percent, indicating an excellent performance of the original estimation scheme. It is also found that though the magnitude of overestimation for the alternative algorithm is significant in the winter period, the proposed method performs similarly well in the growing season as the original. Furthermore, concerning modelling the distribution of biomes, simulation experiments are performed to assess the effects of modifying some configuration settings: (a) the generation of relative BSD data, and (b) the algorithm used to create quasi-daily weather data from the monthly values. Under both the recent humidity conditions of the study region and the spatial resolution of the climate dataset used, the results can be considered sufficiently robust, regardless of the configuration settings tested. Thus, using monthly temperature and precipitation climatologies, the spatial distribution of biomes can be properly simulated with the configuration settings proposed here.