Estimates of mortality following COVID-19 Infection; comparison between Europe and the United States

Alireza Hamidian Jahromi,Hilda Mahmoudi

doi:10.34172/ipp.2021.05

Abstract

While there have been so many speculations on calculating a more accurate estimate of COVID-19 mortality since the start of this pandemic, the complexity of the issue along with differences in reporting and testing systems has prevented accurate COVID-19 mortality calculations. Some non-controlled variables affect any mortality calculation which makes real estimation of the COVID-19 mortality extremely challenging and even impossible. Here we would like to re-calculate and compare the estimated COVID-19 mortality in Europe and the United States based on the currently available reported data.

Highlights

Different countries across the world have been battling with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) during the last two months and its outbreak has been declared as a “pandemic state” since March 11th 2020 by the World Health Organization (WHO), there are still so much unknown about this global health emergency including its attributed mortality rate [1]
If we calculate the COVID-19 attributed mortality solely in the symptomatic and positively tested and reported cases based on the 700,000 closed cases across the world reported by the governmental agencies and health-care authorities, the estimated COVID-19 mortality come to figures as high as 21% [2]
As we are currently in the exponential phase of the COVID-19 pandemic, especially when estimating the COVID-19 attributed mortality, we support the Baud innovative suggestion to re-estimate mortality rate by dividing the total number of deaths on a given time by the number of confirmed symptomatic patients at an earlier time [3,4,5]

Summary

Introduction

Different countries across the world have been battling with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) during the last two months and its outbreak has been declared as a “pandemic state” since March 11th 2020 by the World Health Organization (WHO), there are still so much unknown about this global health emergency including its attributed mortality rate [1]. We would like to re-calculate and compare the estimated COVID-19 mortality in Europe and the US based on the currently available reported data.

Results

Conclusion