Abstract

IntroductionEstimating the mortality risk of persons with diabetes can be challenging. Associated conditions such as cardiovascular disease can become the primary cause of mortality and the underlying contribution of diabetes not recorded. Alternative methods to assess mortality risk in people with diabetes would be useful.ObjectiveTo evaluate an Australian pharmaceutical database to identify multi-morbidity cohorts associated with diabetes and determine mortality rates in these groups using prescription exchange cessation as a proxy event for death.MethodsAustralian Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme data covering the period 2003–14 were used. Persons with diabetes, cardiovascular diseases and dyslipidemia were identified using Anatomic Therapeutic Chemical codes allocated to their recorded dispensed treatments. People with combinations of these conditions were followed and the last recorded prescription exchange used as a proxy event for mortality. Age and gender specific mortality rates and mortality rate ratios for the multi-morbidity cohorts were then calculated from the number of deaths occurring within 10 years.Results346,201 individuals were identified as taking treatments for diabetes, dyslipidemia and cardiovascular conditions in 2004, 86,165 deaths occurred within 10 years of follow up. Overall crude mortality was 26.2/1,000 person years. Age specific mortality rates and rate ratios were calculated for various multi-morbidity groupings. Statin treatments improved the mortality rates associated with diabetes and cardiovascular disease in persons age >54 (Log–Rank <.001).ConclusionsAdministrative pharmaceutical data can be used to identify persons with diabetes and associated multi-morbidities. Proxy mortality events defined by the cessation of treatment can generate mortality rates, providing an alternative perspective for the assessment of mortality risk.

Highlights

  • Estimating the mortality risk of persons with diabetes can be challenging

  • Proxy mortality events defined by the cessation of treatment can generate mortality rates, providing an alternative perspective for the assessment of mortality risk

  • We aim to provide estimates of age specific mortality rates for persons with common comorbidities associated with diabetes, cardiovascular disease and dyslipidemia, using an Australian pharmaceutical data set and cessation of dispensed prescriptions as an implied proxy event for mortality

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Summary

Introduction

Estimating the mortality risk of persons with diabetes can be challenging Associated conditions such as cardiovascular disease can become the primary cause of mortality and the underlying contribution of diabetes not recorded. Quantifying the mortality risks for people with diabetes can be difficult as diabetes is associated with other chronic diseases that contribute to the risk of death [1,2,3,4,5]. The cause specific mortality for people with diabetes, as recorded on death certificates, may often indicate the primary cause to be from associated conditions such as cardiovascular disease rather than the underlying diabetes [6, 7]. Quantifying the relative contributions of age and the associated illnesses and incorporating them into an overall analysis of mortality risk in people with diabetes present challenges [5, 15]

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