Epidemiological trends and factors associated with survival in patients with medulloblastoma: A 45-year population-based retrospective study

Abstract

Medulloblastoma (MB) is a primary brain malignancy. However, updated epidemiological data and long-term outcomes are lacking.The clinical and epidemiological datasets of patients with MB in the current study were obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) databases. Joinpoint regression models were used to assess the rate of changes in the incidence, prevalence, and treatment trends in patients with MB. Cox hazard and competition risk model analyses were used to assess overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS).The age-adjusted incidence of MB remained relatively stable at 0.15 per 100,000 individuals in 2019. The annual percentage change (APC) of females remained stable, whereas that of males increased over time. The 20-year limited-duration prevalence of patients with MB increased significantly from 0.00016 % in 1999 to 0.00203 % in 2018. Patients aged 5–19 years accounted for 46.7 % of all age groups, and the trend for the three treatments was increased. Average annual percentage change (AAPC) for the chemotherapy group was increased in patients aged 20 + years MB [AAPC = 2.66 (95 % CI 0.93–6.31)]. Multivariate analysis revealed that OS and CSS varied significantly according to age, year of diagnosis, histology, stage, surgery, and radiotherapy. Subgroup analysis showed that chemotherapy was associated with a favorable prognosis in high-risk groups.The incidence of MB remained relatively stable, and its prevalence increased significantly. This current population-based study further identified the prognostic factors in patients with MB. Moreover, the use of chemotherapy was associated with better survival in high-risk groups.