Abstract

Introduction: Autistic Spectrum Disorder (ASD) is increasing in across USA. Paediatricians and physicians in both Colorado and Australia continue to see high caseloads however this prevalence uptick remains largely unexplained. Since drug use is an obvious potential source of developmental brain damage the present study was undertaken to study drug-ASD associations at state level. Methods: Existing datasets from the US Department of Education Individuals with Disabilities Act, the Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration National Survey of Drug Use and Health, and the Drug Enforcement Agency cannabinoid concentration in seizures were re-analyzed. Results: ASD rates are high and rising fastest in Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Oregon, Rhode Island and New Jersey but falling in Oklahoma and Iowa. When the nine highest cannabis use states are grouped together ASD is rising significantly faster there than elsewhere (time:status interaction in quadratic mixed effects model p<0.0001). On univariate regression ASD rate was significantly positively associated with alcohol and cannabis exposure and with the cannabinoids Δ9-tetrahydrocannabinol, cannabinol, cannabichromene, cannabigerol and tetrahydrocannabivarin. These effects remained after multivariate adjustment for Δ9-tetrahydrocannabinol and cannabidiol (from p<0.0001). Cannabidiol correlated with ASD rate when a three year lag was introduced (R=0.7483, p=0.0032). Conclusion: These data show that increased cannabinoid exposure explains on bivariate and multivariate regression much of the recent rise in ASD across USA, and in the context of other reports, also at some local cluster levels. Together with numerous mechanistic reports these data argue for causality and indicate a large case-control study. ASD-like neurobehavioural toxicological syndromes likely represent the commonest form of cannabis-related teratology following peri-gestational exposure.

Highlights

  • Autistic Spectrum Disorder (ASD) is increasing in across USA

  • Data on state level use of various addictive drugs were sourced from the Substance Abuse and Mental Health Administration (SAMHSA) National Survey of Drug Use and Health (NSDUH) including shapefiles and SAS database files [13]

  • When all the substances and all the individual cannabinoids are regressed against the ASD Rate the results shown in the lower part of Table 3 are obtained

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Summary

Introduction

Autistic Spectrum Disorder (ASD) is increasing in across USA. Paediatricians and physicians in both Colorado and Australia continue to see high caseloads this prevalence uptick remains largely unexplained. Autistic spectrum disorder (ASD) is one of the commonest development abnormalities of children affecting a mean of. 1.68% of 8 year old boys across USA and up to 4.5% of 8 year old boys in New Jersey [1]. Surveys show substantial rates of rise in ASD incidence of 20% over two years in New Jersey and 30% in Colorado. Higher socioeconomic status, having a previous autistic child, advanced parental age, gestational inflammation, twin associations, diabetes, bleeding and drugs [3,4,5] including cannabinoids [6,7] have been previously implicated

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