Epidemiologic Features and Risk Factors for Crimean-Congo Hemorrhagic Fever in Dhi Qar Province, Iraq.

Abstract

Crimean-Congo hemorrhagic fever virus (CCHFV) is endemic in Iraq, where recurrent epidemics have been constantly observed during the last five years. The present study aimed to determine the factors associated with Crimean-Congo hemorrhagic fever (CCHF) cases in Dhi Qar province during the year 2022. A test-negative case-control design was used to analyze 621 CCHF patients, of which 162 were confirmed and 459 were suspected cases. To identify the confirmed and suspected cases, reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) was used. Suspected patients whose PCR test results were negative were selected as the control group. Data on potential risk factors for CCHF were collected as existing data for previous years for the same geographical locations in Dhi Qar province. Logistic regression analyses were used to determine the correlation between probable risk factors and confirmed CCHF cases. The incidence rate of CCHF was 6.8% per 100,000 people. The total number of deaths was 48 for patients with a case fatality rate of 7.7%. The patients' ages ranged from one year to 65 years, with an overall mean ± SD of 36.08 ± 18.29 years. A total of 98.2% of the patients were between 15 and 65 years of age; 58% of the reported patients were male, and the male-to-female ratio was 1.4:1. Additionally, contact with raw meat, animal contact, and tick bite had the highest percentages for CCHF positivity cases. Male gender, high-risk jobs like housewives, health staff, shepherds, butchers, animal dealers, slaughterhouse workers, veterinary staff, and farmers, tick bites, and contact with raw meat were statistically significant predictors for increasing CCHF incidence in Dhi Qar province during the year 2022.