Environmental and geographic low suitability overlapping of geoduck clams in the Pacific Northeast predicted by Ecological Niche Modeling

Abstract

The known distribution limits of geoduck clams (genus Panopea) remain geographically separated globally. However, in the northeast Pacific, P. generosa is distributed from Alaska to northern Mexico, but approaches, and likely overlaps, the distribution of P. globosa, which is mainly distributed in the Gulf of California. There is incipient evidence that both populations coexist in the central part of the Baja California Peninsula on the Pacific coast. However, knowledge of the biogeographic distribution and environmental conditions for both species is still developing. To address the hypothesis of coexistence in the same geographic space, we developed distribution area models using ecological niche modeling through the maximum entropy algorithm. The algorithm used presence-only records and environmental layers (predictive variables) such as mean surface temperature, mean salinity, mean depth, temperature range, and primary productivity. The results indicate that both species overlap in a narrow portion of the environmental space (Grinnellian ecological niche), which is reflected in a restricted geographic distribution with conditions of low abiotic suitability. Our results contribute to directing new research in the areas of ecology, biogeography, paleontology, and geoduck clam fisheries management.