Abstract
two preoccupations are not mutually exclusive. Superficially, they share the common concern that liberalization is insufficient to resolve the subSaharan food crisis. At a deeper level, the two preoccupations are more intimately interrelated via the correspondence that links initial wealth to risk exposure and to behavior in both production and asset accumulation. A number of recent empirical studies of risk in low-income countries find that households are able to employ their accumulated assets to smooth consumption in the face of adverse agricultural production shocks. 3 Missing from these studies is explicit attention to the fact that the effective risk from which households insulate consumption is not that of production shocks directly, but of those shocks as socially articulated by institutions and property rights. This article explores the creation and distribution of effective risk, estimating how environment, technology, and social factors interact to construct it endogenously. 4 Put differently, this article develops the notion that the risk from which households ex post try to insulate consumption is not an immutable natural or technical feature of the landscape. As Michael Watt’s contrast between precolonial and colonial Nigeria forcefully demonstrates, the effective risk presented by an unchanged set of environmental and technical circumstances can
Published Version
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