Abstract
This article presents approaches to estimate orderliness of transport service of large city by means of city passenger public transport (CPPT). An article considers entropic analysis method as main analytical instrument of orderliness of transportation process. Author presents cause-and-effect chain of formation of results of transportation process by CPPT and process of informational transformation during transportation. An article gives an example of calculation of relative entropy of transportation process by CPPT in Tyumen during March-September 2020. Additional attention was paid to changes of orderliness of transport service during the acute phase of pandemic COVID-19 (April-June 2020). It was established that relative entropy of transportation process decreased during acute phase of pandemic COVID-19 in comparison to periods of sustainable functioning of CPPT system. Respectively orderliness of transportation process increased at the same time. This fact can be explained by structural changes of volume of transported passengers (total volume of traffic – volume of transportation of preferential passengers – volume of transportation of senior citizens). By the results of research author made conclusions and gave recommendations on possible increasing of orderliness of CPPT transportation process.
Highlights
Recent events of 2019...2020 reminds us of continuously increasing significance of social processes orderliness
The purpose of research is to determine the level of orderliness of process of transportation service of population of large Russian city Tyumen in dynamics and its changing during the process of implementation of managerial decision of introduction of measures for limiting overall and especially transport mobility due to spread of infection COVID-19
Range of values of orderliness characteristics varied in this period: relative entropy (Hn-3) was ≈ 0.77...0.98, relative negentropy (1 – (Hn-3)) was ≈ 0.02...0.23
Summary
Recent events of 2019...2020 reminds us of continuously increasing significance of social processes orderliness. Orderliness of transport service of large cities population gain importance these days Main reasons of this trend are necessity of decrease of production processes randomness, importance of increase of quality of predictions of traffic volume and intention of improvement of transportation process efficiency. System chaos can be measured by entropic analysis This instrument can give answers on two main questions: What is the final level of structural disorder (antipode of orderliness) in system of provision of high quality of transport service for city population?. Shannon [3, 4] showed in their works that the main problem of correct system management is necessity of saving the quality of control signal during the process of information transfer in corresponding channels. Entropic analysis is convenient instrument for estimation of quality of production-technological processes management [11, 12, 13]. Vice versa negentropy will be high in highly organized system [14, 15]
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