Enhancing Traffic Incident Detection by Using Spatial Point Pattern Analysis on Social Media

Abstract

Expedient incident detection and understanding are important in traffic management and control. Social media as important information venues have immense value for increasing an awareness of traffic incidents. In this paper, an attempt is made to assess the potential of using harvested social media for traffic incident detection. Twitter in Seattle, Washington, was chosen as a representative sample environment for this work. A hybrid mechanism based on latent Dirichlet allocation and document clustering was proposed to model incident-level semantic information, while spatial point pattern analysis was applied to explore the spatial patterns and to assess the spatial dependence between incident-topic tweets and traffic incidents. A global Monte Carlo K-test indicated that the incident-topic tweets were significantly clustered at different scales up to 600 m. The nearest neighbor clutter removal method was used to separate feature tweet points from clutter; then a density-based algorithm successfully detected the clusters of tweets posted spatially close to traffic incidents. In multivariate spatial point pattern analysis, K-cross functions were investigated with Monte Carlo simulation to characterize and model the spatial dependence, and a positive spatial correlation was inferred between incident-topic tweets and traffic incidents up to 800 m. Finally, the tweet intensity as a function of distance from the nearest traffic incident was estimated, and a log-linear model was summarized. The experiments supported the notion that social media feeds acted as sensors, which allowed enhancing awareness of traffic incidents and their potential disturbances.